Covid-19 Tracker: Hospital Admissions Slide – Mission Local
Good morning, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (somewhat regular) Covid-19 data dump.
The number of hospital admissions has recently been on a declining trend, falling below 20 for the first time since July 11, 2021. Stable case numbers, an average positivity rate of less than 2 percent and R-number models hovering around or below 1 suggest the virus is taking a breather locally.
In case you missed it, Governor Gavin Newsom was in the district paying tribute to the excellent work of the University of California, San Francisco/Latino Task Force coalition, which is now seen as a public health model for the state, and should be a model for the country,
How many you can expect immunity after being infected with the virus? The Lancet’s Infectious Disease journal is investigating the question, and the answers so far look promising.
The number of cases is rising nationwide and the number of hospital admissions is increasing. David Leonhart of the New York Times summarize the current situation.
Do we need biannual or annual boosters? A ‘computational biologist’ discusses the current situation and what may be on the horizon.
Things aren’t looking good for the US Food and Drug Administration this morning. Medicare premiums are expected to rise driven in part by the new Alzheimer’s disease drug recently got the green light from the FDA, though its own independent advisors warned the trials had shown little benefit and could pose a serious risk of harm. Now we see proof of that damage. Will Biden’s new head of the FDA change business-friendly culture? Maybe, though he has invested millions in Big Pharma and Big Tech. (Note: Most of the article is behind a paywall, but the opening paragraphs give a good idea).
Finally more about using quick tests by David Leonhart.
Note: Covid Tracker will not publish this Friday or next Monday.
Scroll down for today’s covid numbers.
The data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control used for the chart lags behind data provided by the San Francisco Department of Public Health. As of November 23, DPH reports more than 84 percent of all San Francisco residents received one dose, and 77 percent got two. For residents aged 5 and older, DPH reports, the figures rise to 88 percent and 80 percent. SFDPH reports that as of November 22, 175,568 residents have received the booster including: 50 percent of residents aged 65 and over. For information on where to get vaccinated in and around the mission, visit our Vaccination page.
On November 20, DPH reported that there were 17 covid hospital admissions, or over 1.9 per 100,000 (based on a population of 874,000). There are no new updates on hospitalizations in what used to be considered “fully vaxxed” residents or those who received boosters. See for September dates the last of DPH. The CDC appears to have stopped reporting recent admissions and rates of covid patients in San Francisco hospitals.
The latest report from the Federal Department of Health and Human Services shows Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital with: 7 covid patients and 4 ICU beds available, while CPMC throughout the mission: 4 covid patients and 2 IC beds available. By 36 reported covid patients, 22 were on SFGH or UCSF, with at least 64 ICU beds available at reporting hospitals (excluding the Veterans Administration). The California DPH currently reports: 75 ICU beds available in San Francisco. SFDPH won’t say it.
Note: DPH uses dated population figures for neighbourhoods. Between September 20 and November 19, DPH recorded 280 fallen in the mission or a rate of 48 per 10,000 inhabitants. During that period, Bayview Hunters Point had the most cases (225), the Marina had the highest rate, 72 per 10,000 inhabitants (the only SF neighborhood with more than 60 per 10,000 inhabitants).
On November 16, the 7-day average of daily new cases in the city was: 57, or about 6.5 new cases per day per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000). The 7-day mean number of cases among vaccinated (non-boosted) residents was 5.7 per 100,000 vaccinated inhabitants and for unvaccinated inhabitants, 11.5 per 100,000 unvaccinated inhabitants.
As of Nov. 17, DPH reports that whites have recorded 494 infections this month, 45 per cent of the total; Asians 225 infections, 20.5 percent, Latinxs 165 infections, 15 percent, blacks 44 infections, 4 percent, multiracial 24 infections, 2.2 percent, Pacific Islanders 10 infections, .9 per cent and Indians included 6 infections so far this month, 0.5 percent of the total.
Between September 20 and November 19, the mission recorded a test positivity of 1.7 percent. During that period, the Marina had the highest positivity on 2.9 percent, one of the 8 neighborhoods with a positivity rate of 2 percent or higher.
No new deaths to report. The Delta total (August through November) so far is 93 and the cumulative covid-related death toll is on 670. From September 30, DPH . reports 16 covid-related deaths among “fully vaccinated” residents. Of those San Franciscans who died of covid-related deaths, and about 3 percent had no underlying conditions.
Covid R estimate increased its San Francisco R number by more than 1 to 1.04. For the California R number, the estimate increased to .99. The ensemble increased the average for the San Francisco R number to .7. All models in the ensemble are currently showing the City under 1. The average California R-number remained at .89 with all but one models showing the condition under 1.
On November 17, DPH reports that among San Francisco residents ages 0-4, there were: 25 new cases so far this month, 2.3 percent of the total; 5-11 63 new cases, 5.7 percent, 12-17 22 new cases, 2 percent, 18-20 22 new cases, 2 percent, 21-24, 103 new cases 9.6 percent, 25-29 244 new cases, 22.2 percentt, 30-39 313 new cases, 28.5 percent, 40-49 130 new cases, 11.9 percent, 50-59 80 new cases, 7.3 percent, 60-69 59 new cases, 5.4 percent, 70-79 23 new cases, 2.1 percent, and those 80+ had 13 new cases so far in November, 1.2 percent.