An oil pump at sunset in Daqing, Heilongjiang Province, China, on July 13, 2006.
Lucas Schifres | Getty Images
Oil prices fell for a second session on Friday amid growing concerns that Washington could soon act to cut prices, while move controls in China to contain a Covid-19 outbreak weighed on fuel demand.
China, the No. 2 oil consumer worldwide, has suspended some international flights and stepped up efforts to curb a virus outbreak in Tianjin, while the highly transmissible omicron variant has spread to the northeastern city of Dalian.
Many cities, including Beijing, have also urged people to stay during the Lunar New Year holiday, which could reduce transportation fuel demand during a peak travel season.
“The market is a bit off-putting,” said Avtar Sandu, a commodities manager at Phillip Futures in Singapore, adding that reports on the Covid-19 situation in China and the sale of strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) in the United States are a point of concern. were care.
Nevertheless, Brent and WTI prices are set to rise for the fourth straight week, supported by supply concerns in Libya and Kazakhstan and a drop in US crude inventories to the lows of 2018. Some investors are also optimistic that the impact will be impacted. of omicron on the global economy and oil demand will be short-lived.
Several banks have forecast the oil price to reach $100 a barrel later this year as demand is expected to outpace supply.
“The near-term outlook still carries a lot of risk, but the optimism is high that it will be short-lived,” OANDA analyst Edward Moya said in a note.
However, with oil prices above $80 a barrel, there is increasing political pressure on the White House to lobby OPEC+ to meet their production quotas, he said.
“Biden may resort to another SPR release and while that won’t solve any problems, it could send WTI crude to the $80 level,” Moya said.